Pascal’s Wager Is a Poor Reason to “Believe” In God

Pascal’s Wager is a horrible, horrible reason to “believe” in God. The reason is simple. You don’t choose to believe. You either believe or you don’t. Events over the course of your life may change your belief, and you may change it because of arguments that actually convince you of God’s existence or non-existence. But if you just pretend to believe because it’s safer, you don’t really believe. And God would see through that. So if he cares what you believe, than pretending isn’t going to help you. And if he doesn’t care what you believe, there’s no need to pretend in the first place. If Pascal’s Wager is what convinces you to believe, you are pretending, because you’re professing belief under duress, not because you truly believe it. This is not a knock at those who may profess belief because they’ve been confronted with this argument, though I do wish they would stand up for themselves and speak out about their true beliefs. But this is a warning to those who use Pascal’s Wager as a conversion argument. It doesn’t work. You aren’t convincing anyone to believe anything. All you’re doing is convincing them to profess belief in God, not to actually believe in him.

Also, I’d like to point out that many practicing monotheists (Christian and non-Christian alike) believe in Universal Salvation. To believe a loving God could condemn someone to hell for choosing the wrong beliefs is completely illogical, particularly when he has given us no way to know for sure. The Bible doesn’t count, as I could just as easily cite the Vedas or Koran as ultimate truth, with just as much validity. If God wanted us to be blind through life, he wouldn’t have given us the ability to reason through situations and ideas. As he gave us reason, I’d think he expects us to use it to better ourselves and our world, wouldn’t you? And since it’s illogical to think a loving God would condemn us to Hell for the wrong beliefs, I guess he’d think to make it clear which faith we should choose if he required us to make that choice correctly. Since that isn’t the case, and most of us presuppose a loving God, I’d say that leaves the option that God isn’t really looking for us to make the right choice of religion. He’s looking for us to live our lives the right way, which there is also no guide book for, which leaves us to reason out the best way for ourselves. Guess we’d better think for ourselves instead of relying on the Bible, don’t you think? Yes, there is some presumption in this paragraph. I know I don’t know the will of God. But I’m trying to come to a reasoned conclusion here based on premises that are commonly held by many religions, the most prominent being that God loves us, and my own reasoning and thought processes.

So, not only is Pascal’s Wager a poor argument because God can see what’s in your heart anyway, it’s also a poor argument because a loving God wouldn’t condemn anyone to Hell for making the wrong choice of religion without the knowledge to make an informed decision, or using our reason to come to our own conclusions. Stop using Pascal’s Wager to try to convince people. It doesn’t work, and it’s quite possibly one of the most flawed arguments to convert people I’ve ever seen.

Related Posts:

Sponsored Link
Like this post? Promote it here:
  • StumbleUpon
  • Digg
  • Reddit
  • Slashdot
  • del.icio.us
  • Technorati
  • Facebook
  • TwitThis
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Tony

    May 17th, 2010

    Completely agree. Your belief, whatever it is, has to come from your deepest core.

  • Sketch Sepahi

    June 30th, 2010

    Spoken like someone who has never read the Pensées. Because before criticising it is not at all relevant to have actually read it first, right? If you had read the Pensées (which can be grabbed for free here by the way: http://manybooks.net/titles/pascalb1826918269-8.html) you would know Pascal actually addresses this point specifically. He even agrees that belief cannot be chosen.

    - “Yes, but I have my hands tied and my mouth closed; I am forced to wager, and am not free. I am not released, and am so made that I cannot believe. What, then, would you have me do?”
    True. But at least learn your inability to believe, since reason brings you to this, and yet you cannot believe. Endeavour then to convince yourself, not by increase of proofs of God, but by the abatement of your passions. You would like to attain faith, and do not know the way; you would like to cure yourself of unbelief, and ask the remedy for it. Learn of those who have been bound like you, and who now stake all their possessions. These are people who know the way which you would follow, and who are cured of an ill of which you would be cured. Follow the way by which they began; by acting as if they believed, taking the holy water, having masses said, etc. Even this will naturally make you believe, and deaden your acuteness.–”But this is what I am afraid of.”–And why? What have you to lose? – Pascal

    Mind you I’m an atheist, so I don’t agree with Pascal. However, bringing a criticism to bear against the man, which he explicitly foresaw and responded to in his original writing, without at least mentioning Pascal’s response is just plain ignorant and silly. It makes you a bad philosopher and a narrow-minded atheist.

  • floslib

    June 30th, 2010

    Hello Sketch Sepahi, and thank you for pointing this out. I’ve never heard this part of the argument before, so it’s good to know about. As you say, I should have done some more research first. I wrote this after seeing tons of Pascal’s Wager style arguments floating around, without that addendum added to them. In a way, Pascal’s Wager has morphed into just “believe just in case,” even though apparently that isn’t the original argument.

    I would like to point out that I am not an atheist though. I do believe in God, but I don’t think anyone must believe to avoid going to Hell or anything like that. I’m one of those who believe in universal salvation, for lack of a better term. Just to clarify.

    In any case, I will have to read through that and address this part of the argument as well. From the snippet you posted, I already have an inkling of where I still disagree, but it seems it would be better to read the whole thing before adding to my argument. As I have a lot of plans through the rest of the week, this will most likely be next week sometime. I’ll make a note on the post when I’ve added to it.

  • Sketch Sepahi

    July 1st, 2010

    floslib, thank you for the response even though I realise in retrospect I was being unnecessarily blunt. I also apologise for assuming that you are an atheist. That was rather silly of me. I just assumed this because gripes with Pascal’s wager are usually raised by atheists.

    I agree with you that the wager seems to have morphed into something far less sophisticated than it originally was. However, this seems to be the case with nearly all such arguments. They all too easily get distilled into some simplistic layman’s version.

    In this case what people seldom take note of is that Pascal’s wager was meant as an argument for what one should do (how one should conduct one’s life) and not as an argument for the belief-content itself. “Reason cannot decide (whether God exists or not),” Pascal says, so how should one handle the question? Pascal then thinks that since it is equally likely that God exists and that he does not (he compares it with flipping a coin), the infinite reward justifies conducting one’s life as if he does (note that Pascal does not mention Hell much at all. Lesser people than Pascal seemingly like to focus on punishment rather than reward).

    What I think is wrong with the argument is Pascal’s assumptions. He assumes an epistemic parity between the God of Christianity and no God at all without considering the probability of other options. He also assumes that religious piety is somehow morally superior or desirable. Atheism is to him an illness to be cured of. If you are – as I am – disinclined to grant these assumptions, Pascal’s argument just falls flat.

  • floslib

    July 10th, 2010

    Hey Sketch, no worries, it happens sometimes, for whatever reason. And I get mistaken for an atheist a lot when I argue against commonly held religious positions, so no problems there either.

    You might note I still haven’t had a chance to add to my current argument as promised. I was a little ambitious in saying I would have finished the book you linked me to by now, but I do intend to get to the update. I haven’t forgotten or anything, just taking longer than I hoped.

    I certainly agree with you that the assumptions you listed aren’t assumptions I would grant, though I do hope to approach my argument from an angle that might get through to more people on the religious side of the fence by framing it in religious terms. Once I finish working through the book, I’ll get back to working on that.

    Also, thanks for the link, the book itself is an interesting read :)

  • No trackbacks yet

Leave a Comment

* are Required fields